What is happening
The Israeli Defence Forces and US military have carried out coordinated strikes against Iranian military airports and IRGC bases in Tehran and Karaj. These strikes include targeting the IRGC air force base and come with the release of a new hit list that names Mojtaba Khamenei as the top target. Concurrently, reports indicate a rise in guerrilla warfare activities by anti-IRGC Iranian factions on the ground, signaling internal conflict and unrest.
Why this matters
This joint military action and targeting of high-profile Iranian figures underscore escalating tensions in the region and the strategic push to weaken the Iranian military infrastructure. The involvement of guerrilla fighters highlights domestic resistance against Iran's Revolutionary Guard, complicating Iran’s internal security and regional influence.
Implications
Future developments to watch include potential Iranian retaliation and escalation of military conflict, the stability of the IRGC's command structure given the targeting of Mojtaba Khamenei, and the impact of internal guerrilla warfare on Iran’s control. The regional balance of power may be affected as these conflicts unfold.